This week, Pew published a new poll. Among its many results, one stood out. 80% of Democrats (and I believe left leaning independents) in the United States have an unfavorable view of Israel, and about 40% of Republicans (and right leaning independents) do, so altogether, 60% of American adults have an unfavorable view of the Jewish State. And, not surprisingly, the negative numbers run higher, the younger the voters are.
This is extraordinary in many ways. First, it is just plain extraordinary. Second, it shows a massive change from similar polling in previous years. Thirdly, it gives the Republican party a campaign issue that you know they will exploit to its limits. Fourth, it portends a possible movement away from the Democratic party by Jews (especially by Jews), which may impact on a number of close races. Fifth, in can feed into Jewish fears of rising antisemitism and can in fact lead to additional antisemitism at a time when Jews can’t really afford it.
We (and others more expert that I am) have discussed the reasons why Israel is viewed, especially by younger people, as an arm of outmoded European colonialism. We have talked about the pervasive feeling about Israel as an occupying power (in the West Bank, and even in Gaza, although until the attacks of October 2023, Israel had no recent physical presence in Gaza). And both of these reasons clearly play a large part in the Pew numbers.
But we have to also look at the way Israel is being governed by the Netanyahu coalition, and especially by those who believe that Israel used excessive power in Gaza, is continuing to promote excessive actions in the West Bank, and now is engaged in a massive bombing campaign not only in southern Lebanon, but in Beirut and in Tyre. All of these actions involve harsh measures against civilians, the same crime that Israel accuses Hamas of committing coming out of Gaza.
I have suggested earlier that a hundred or so years from now, Benjamin Netanyahu will either be looked upon as Israel’s greatest hero, or its biggest villain, and that what we feel now will be unimportant, although it is important to us and to everyone who is living at the same time that we are. But either his measures, which are clearly to me measures of ethnic cleansing and which are being done in the belief that leaving Palestinians on Israel’s current borders will never result in a secure Israel, and that the only way to secure the state for the long run will be, in effect, to create militarized no-man’s lands along Israel’s periphery.
We all know the basic history of the region, but most Americans don’t. And there has not been much of an effort to educate America by supporters of Israel (whether they are also Netanyahu supporters or not), to compete with the Palestinian positions which you find vocalized all over. It is obviously true that it was the Arabs who first started the current fight in 1948, but after winning the Six Day War in 1967, rather than trying to normalize relations with their neighbors, Israel became an occupying power and remained such, although at first, it was not necessarily the position of many prominent Israeli leaders. And, more than this, Israel became not only a political occupying power, but began to move Israeli citizens on to the occupied land. It started as a movement of extremist Zionists, but it became a movement of real estate entrepreneurs supported generously by the government. Today more than 600,000 Israeli citizens live in the West Bank, and units are being built for thousands more as we speak. In addition, Israel has not moved out of Gaza after the major fighting ended, and say that they will not until Hamas is destroyed (which may be never), and Israel is not only attacking southern Lebanon but talking about annexing the territory of Lebanon south of the Litani River. And, back in the West Bank, the Israeli government seems to have given free rein to radical settlers to do away with Palestinian residents without fear of punishment.
With this in mind, it’s hard to say it is only the Palestinians who want to control the land from the river to the sea. Obviously, the Israelis want to do the same. And the only way either can succeed is to remove the other from the area, or subjugate them for the long run. Unless they can figure out a way to live together. And how can they live together? A two state solution seems impossible at this time. And a joint state where they share power seems equally impossible.
Back to reality.
There is a two week truce between the US, Israel (I guess), and Iran that’s unsurprisingly not holding very well. But is Israel’s action in Lebanon part of the truce or not? The fact that no one is sure is absurd, don’t you think? I guess they didn’t write anything down, were never in the same room, didn’t transcribe or record anything, etc. This is the Trump way to rule the world.
Trump can control neither the Ayatollah nor Netanyahu. That is clear. And the next sets of negotiations will be separate. US and Iran, and Israel and Lebanon.
There is asymmetry in the two situations. The government of Iran is in a war with the US and Israel, but is apparently not talking to Israel. Israel is not in a war with the government of Lebanon, but with a Palestinian movement funded by Iran, which Lebanon can not control. Israel and Iran are in both wars. Shouldn’t Israel be involved in both settlement conversations? Your answer: of course, but they won’t talk to each other. My answer to that? There will be no peace.
Elements of peace? Iran opens strait, stops funding Hezbollah, recognizes Israel. U.S. helps fund rebuilding of Iran. Israel stops bombing Lebanon. Everyone lives happily ever after. Except in the US, where Trump still reigns.
Leaving for annual St. Louis road trip today with daughter Michelle and granddaughter Joan. Next 8 days, reporting from the road.

















