Three things for today:
(1) Donald Trump says that we (i.e., he) will hit Iran harder and harder and he will only accept unconditional surrender as a way to end the war against Iran. Tough talking from the Donald, right? But of course you can’t take him seriously for several reasons. One of the reasons is that this is not only our (i.e., his) war, but it is Israel’s war as well, and I have not heard similar language coming from Israel (i.e., Bibi and friends). A second reason is that we don’t know what unconditional surrender means in this situation.
The last time we forced unconditional surrender, I think, was during World War II. We certainly didn’t end Korea or Vietnam or Iraq or Afghanistan with an unconditional surrender. In fact, we didn’t end any of those more recent wars with a victory. So, our models for unconditional surrender have to go back to Germany and Japan.
And what we found in both countries is that, after unconditional surrender, there was no way for either country to pick themselves right up and start governing themselves in a way friendly to the victors. In the case of Japan, the United States became an occupying power for about 7 years. In Germany, the four allied powers occupied the entire country for almost 5 years and occupied Berlin until 1991. In both cases, the occupying powers had an enormous number of military troops on the ground during the occupation and today, in 2026, over 80 years since the end of World War II, the United States still has troops in both Germany and Japan. This is what seems to be required after an unconditional surrender.
In Iran, we have no troops now. Without troops on the ground, we cannot have a post-war occupation. Without a post-war occupation, we have no way to police the dismantling of the Iranian military, the Iranian Republic Guard Corps, or the civil rights of Iranian citizens, free of Islamic oversight, that we seem to want.
There has never been successful regime change with only an air campaign. And without regime change, we cannot get unconditional surrender, because the regime itself is based on opposition to us.
(2) I didn’t have any real plans for yesterday. But I certainly didn’t expect, when I turned on the funeral services for Jesse Jackson at about 1 p.m. that I would still be watching well over three hours later. But that is what happened.
As you may know from earlier postings, I have long been a fan of Jesse Jackson. And when I heard that Presidents Clinton, Obama, and Biden, and Vice President Harris were all going to speak, I became very curious about what they were going to say. But, from the opening of the service until its end, I was glued to the television, interested in what everyone said, whether what they said was interesting or not.
The service was heard at the House of Hope, a megachurch in Chicago which holds, if Wikipedia can be believed, about 10,000 congregants. The founding minister of the Salem Baptist Church, which is housed in the House of Hope, James Meeks was the emcee of the proceedings, and did a fine job.
There were many speakers, including two of Jackson’s sons, several clergymen (including a rabbi), several other politicians (the mayor of Chicago, the governor of Illinois, Congresswoman Maxine Waters), and representatives of the business and sports world, and – although each of them had something different to say – they all talked about how their lives were influenced, and often changed, by Jackson, and I think they were all sincere.
There was little pure religion. There was a large and quite good chorus, and at least three soloists who sang with the chorus, including Opal Staples (wonderful) and Jennifer Hudson (I had to turn off the sound). And yes, there was one big mistake, when the President of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, was introduced and spoke, in Spanish with a live translator and went on for about 20 minutes talking more about Simon Bolivar and about everyone he has ever known who was Black than about Jackson. I don’t know how he got on the invite list.
Obama spoke wonderfully, as you would expect, and (did you know?) he spoke about the current administration in less than glowing terms. Harris spoke well. Biden and Clinton? Not so much. You would expect that Biden, given his current physical and mental condition, would have trouble speaking. But Clinton, in fact, seemed as confused as Biden. James Zogby, the American Arab leader, didn’t seem confused at all; in fact, after giving a meaningful and short talk, he said that he had only one more thing to say…….and then he couldn’t remember what it was. He told the crowd that he excused himself when things like that happened – after all, he was 80.
(3) We went to the annual used book sale this morning at Bethesda-Chevy Chase High School. There are about 8.5 billion people in the world; at least 2/3 of them were at the book sale. The pre-opening line of people holding their tote bags stretched half the way to Pittsburgh. There were about 2 books for every person – so that makes about, what?, 10 billion?
I had pledged to limit myself to 5 or 6 books, and I came home with 9, well within my limits. All in perfect condition, all signed on inscribed. The most valuable were books singed by Buzz Aldrin and Jeffrey Sachs. I found a signed copy of Joyce Carol Oates’ memoir The Lost Landscape. And a signed copy of Alexander Vindman’s The Folly of Reality, about the failure of the west to serve Ukraine.
The sale will be much less crowded tomorrow. Should I return??
Tonight we have tickets for the Washington Opera’s staging of Scott Joplin’s Tremonisha.
























